Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Nov 9, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2502
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 16
WN 2502 · LAX → HNL
departs 3:37 PM PT · arrives 7:33 PM HT
Forecast issued Sun 1:00 AM ET · 42h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 27%
Mon 11/16
Tue 11/17 34%
Wed 11/18 30%
Thu 11/19 41%
Fri 11/20 37%
Sat 11/21 33%
Odds over time
Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?
38%
chance · ±6 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
38%
Leave 15+ late
51%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Leave LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 42% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
51%
Yes 51%
No 49%
Arrive at HNL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to HNL?
On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
3pm departures from LAX are often late
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
LAX (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.02 in
HNL (destination)
Gusts 27 kt Ceiling 2,400 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.