Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Nov 9, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2624
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 16 Tomorrow
WN 2624 · LIH → HNL
departs 7:06 PM HT · arrives 8:01 PM HT
Forecast issued Sun 4:00 AM ET · 44h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 14%
Mon 11/16
Tue 11/17 9%
Wed 11/18 14%
Thu 11/19 22%
Fri 11/20 18%
Sat 11/21 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?
15%
chance · ±1 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
15%
Leave 15+ late
12%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
7.0d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Leave LIH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Arrive at HNL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to HNL?
On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into HNL at that hour are often late
↓
LIH usually runs smoothly
↓
This flight has been late 5% of the time recently
Weather at each end
LIH (origin)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 1,900 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip none
HNL (destination)
Gusts 27 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.