Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Nov 9, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2685
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 16
WN 2685 · OKC → HOU
departs 12:52 PM CT · arrives 2:30 PM CT
Forecast issued Sat 9:00 PM ET · 41h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sun 11/15 53%
Mon 11/16
Tue 11/17 16%
Wed 11/18 21%
Thu 11/19 25%
Fri 11/20 26%
Odds over time
Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?
26%
chance · ±8 pts
−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
26%
Leave 15+ late
22%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Leave OKC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Arrive at HOU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to HOU?
On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 25 kt, cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at HOU that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
HOU is prone to delays
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at OKC that day
Weather at each end
OKC (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip none
HOU (destination)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.28 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.