Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Nov 9, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3051
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 16 Tomorrow
WN 3051 · BOI → SAN
departs 4:36 PM MT · arrives 6:01 PM PT
Forecast issued Sun 1:00 AM ET · 42h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 27%
Mon 11/16
Tue 11/17 25%
Wed 11/18 29%
Thu 11/19 39%
Odds over time
Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±2 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
38%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave BOI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Arrive at SAN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SAN?
On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into SAN at that hour are often late
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at SAN
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
BOI usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
BOI (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip none
SAN (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 3,100 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.21 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.