Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Nov 9, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3322
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 16
WN 3322 · SJC → SNA
departs 8:16 AM PT · arrives 9:45 AM PT
Forecast issued Fri 4:00 PM ET · 67h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 11%
Sun 11/15 6%
Mon 11/16
Tue 11/17 4%
Wed 11/18 5%
Odds over time
Arrive at SNA more than 15 minutes late?
8%
chance · ±1 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
8%
Leave 15+ late
14%
Arrive 1h+ late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
3%
6%
9%
12%
6.5d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Leave SJC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Arrive at SNA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SNA?
On time or early
91%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
SNA is prone to delays
↓
Arrivals into SNA at that hour are usually not late
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
SJC (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 2,900 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.27 in
SNA (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.