Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Nov 9, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3341
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 16
WN 3341 · BUR → OAK
departs 3:44 PM PT · arrives 5:08 PM PT
Forecast issued Sun 1:00 AM ET · 42h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 40%
Mon 11/16
Tue 11/17 19%
Wed 11/18 22%
Thu 11/19 35%
Sat 11/21 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at OAK more than 15 minutes late?
31%
chance · ±3 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
31%
Leave 15+ late
31%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at OAK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Leave BUR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Arrive at OAK more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to OAK?
On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at OAK
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BUR
Weather at each end
BUR (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip none
OAK (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.17 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.