Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Nov 9, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3554
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 16
WN 3554 · PIT → MCO
departs 7:03 PM ET · arrives 9:24 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 6:00 PM ET · 49h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 27%
Sun 11/15 31%
Mon 11/16
Thu 11/19 39%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
28%
chance · ±2 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
28%
Leave 15+ late
34%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Leave PIT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PIT
Weather at each end
PIT (origin)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling 3,233 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
MCO (destination)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.03 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.