Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Nov 9, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 356
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 16 Tomorrow
WN 356 · LAS → BUR
departs 6:57 PM PT · arrives 8:12 PM PT
Forecast issued Sun 6:00 AM ET · 40h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 41%
Mon 11/16
Thu 11/19 50%
Odds over time
Arrive at BUR more than 15 minutes late?
40%
chance · ±9 pts
−6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
40%
Leave 15+ late
58%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BUR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
40%
Yes 40%
No 60%
Leave LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 47% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
58%
Yes 58%
No 42%
Arrive at BUR more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BUR?
On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
6pm departures from LAS are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS
Weather at each end
LAS (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 3,900 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
BUR (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.