Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Nov 9, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3697
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 16 Tomorrow
WN 3697 · SAN → DAL
departs 6:39 PM PT · arrives 11:41 PM CT
Forecast issued Sun 3:00 AM ET · 43h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 50%
Mon 11/16
Tue 11/17 28%
Wed 11/18 30%
Thu 11/19 53%
Odds over time
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
50%
chance · ±5 pts
+9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
50%
Leave 15+ late
54%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Leave SAN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 39% · changed +11 pts in 24h
+11 pts
54%
Yes 54%
No 46%
Arrive at DAL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to DAL?
On time or early
49%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
20%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
6pm departures from SAN are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at DAL that day
Weather at each end
SAN (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 3,100 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.30 in
DAL (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.