Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Nov 9, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3715
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 16 Tomorrow
WN 3715 · DAL → SAN
departs 11:01 AM CT · arrives 12:04 PM PT
Forecast issued Sun 1:00 AM ET · 35h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 72%
Mon 11/16
Thu 11/19 33%
Fri 11/20 32%
Sat 11/21 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?
35%
chance · ±2 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
35%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.5d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Leave DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at SAN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SAN?
On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
21%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into SAN at that hour are often late
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at SAN
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
DAL (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.02 in
SAN (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 3,100 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.21 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.