Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Nov 9, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3839
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 16
WN 3839 · SFO → BUR
departs 9:59 AM PT · arrives 11:24 AM PT
Forecast issued Fri 5:00 PM ET · 68h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 31%
Sat 11/14 9%
Sun 11/15 30%
Mon 11/16
Tue 11/17 14%
Thu 11/19 42%
Odds over time
Arrive at BUR more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±0 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.5d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BUR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +11 pts in 24h
+11 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at BUR more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to BUR?
On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
SFO is prone to delays
↑
This flight has been late 46% of the time recently
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
SFO (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 3,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.15 in
BUR (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 4,100 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.