Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Nov 9, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 400
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 16 Tomorrow
WN 400 · BHM → DAL
departs 12:31 PM CT · arrives 2:34 PM CT
Forecast issued Sun 2:00 AM ET · 36h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 57%
Mon 11/16
Tue 11/17 9%
Wed 11/18 13%
Thu 11/19 20%
Fri 11/20 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
15%
chance · ±2 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
15%
Leave 15+ late
20%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Leave BHM more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Arrive at DAL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DAL?
On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
BHM is prone to delays
↑
This flight has been late 20% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BHM
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
BHM (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
DAL (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.