Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Nov 9, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4455
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 16 Tomorrow
WN 4455 · DAL → OKC
departs 10:52 PM CT · arrives 12:05 AM CT
Forecast issued Sun 1:00 AM ET · 47h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 53%
Mon 11/16
Thu 11/19 50%
Odds over time
Arrive at OKC more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±0 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
50%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
7.0d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at OKC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 47% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Arrive at OKC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to OKC?
On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
10pm departures from DAL are often late
↑
This flight has been late 32% of the time recently
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at DAL that day
Weather at each end
DAL (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.02 in
OKC (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.