Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Nov 9, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4825
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 16 Tomorrow
WN 4825 · HOU → HRL
departs 10:23 PM CT · arrives 11:42 PM CT
Forecast issued Sun 5:00 PM ET · 30h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 83%
Mon 11/16
Tue 11/17 31%
Wed 11/18 33%
Thu 11/19 46%
Sat 11/21 31%
Odds over time
Arrive at HRL more than 15 minutes late?
46%
chance · ±4 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
46%
Leave 15+ late
48%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
7.0d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HRL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 32% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Leave HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 43% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Arrive at HRL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to HRL?
On time or early
54%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
10pm departures from HOU are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Cloud base down to 800 ft forecast at HOU that day
Weather at each end
HOU (origin)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.20 in
HRL (destination)
Gusts 31 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.