Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Nov 9, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4939
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 16
WN 4939 · IND → MCI
departs 1:38 PM ET · arrives 2:19 PM CT
Forecast issued Sat 3:00 PM ET · 47h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sun 11/15 15%
Mon 11/16
Tue 11/17 17%
Wed 11/18 21%
Thu 11/19 22%
Fri 11/20 21%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?
13%
chance · ±2 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
13%
Leave 15+ late
23%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Leave IND more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 21% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Arrive at MCI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 100%
How late will it get to MCI?
On time or early
87%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at IND
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
IND (origin)
Gusts 3 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 9 mi Precip none
MCI (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.