Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Nov 9, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 598
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 16
WN 598 · MDW → MKE
departs 10:05 AM CT · arrives 10:57 AM CT
Forecast issued Fri 1:00 PM ET · 70h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 18%
Sun 11/15 11%
Mon 11/16
Thu 11/19 24%
Odds over time
Arrive at MKE more than 15 minutes late?
14%
chance · ±1 pts
−7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
14%
Leave 15+ late
11%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.5d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MKE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Leave MDW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Arrive at MKE more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MKE?
On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Other factors
↑
This flight has been late 21% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MDW
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MDW (origin)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
MKE (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.