Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Nov 9, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 623 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Monday, November 16

WN 623 · BNA → MCI

departs 12:09 PM CT · arrives 1:57 PM CT

Forecast issued Fri 4:00 PM ET · 69h before departure

Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?

9% chance · ±1 pts −4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MCI?

On time or early
91%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 29% of the time recently

↑ 12pm departures from BNA are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BNA

↓ Mondays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

BNA (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MCI (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 623 · BNA → MCI

Odds over time

How late will it get to MCI?