Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Nov 9, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 691
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 16
WN 691 · HOU → LIR
departs 10:29 AM CT · arrives 2:02 PM CST
Forecast issued Fri 7:00 PM ET · 64h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 18%
Sat 11/14 8%
Sun 11/15 22%
Mon 11/16
Tue 11/17 10%
Wed 11/18 10%
Thu 11/19 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at LIR more than 15 minutes late?
18%
chance · ±3 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
18%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.5d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LIR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed – in 24h
–
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Leave HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed – in 24h
–
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at LIR more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed – in 24h
–
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LIR?
On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at HOU that day
↑
HOU is prone to delays
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LIR
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
HOU (origin)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.38 in
LIR (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.