Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Nov 9, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 768
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 16
WN 768 · LAX → LAS
departs 5:35 PM PT · arrives 6:47 PM PT
Forecast issued Sat 9:00 PM ET · 48h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 46%
Sun 11/15 39%
Mon 11/16
Thu 11/19 60%
Fri 11/20 42%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
51%
chance · ±11 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
51%
Leave 15+ late
56%
Arrive 1h+ late
26%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
51%
Yes 51%
No 49%
Leave LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 39% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
56%
Yes 56%
No 44%
Arrive at LAS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +13 pts in 24h
+13 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LAS?
On time or early
48%
15–30 min late
20%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
21%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 29% of the time recently
↑
LAS is prone to delays
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS
Weather at each end
LAX (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.02 in
LAS (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 4,200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.