Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Nov 9, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 793
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 16 Tomorrow
WN 793 · SJC → BUR
departs 3:58 PM PT · arrives 5:18 PM PT
Forecast issued Sun 6:00 AM ET · 37h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 63%
Mon 11/16
Tue 11/17 15%
Wed 11/18 16%
Thu 11/19 46%
Fri 11/20 29%
Sat 11/21 29%
Odds over time
Arrive at BUR more than 15 minutes late?
27%
chance · ±2 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
27%
Leave 15+ late
37%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BUR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Leave SJC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Arrive at BUR more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BUR?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
BUR is prone to delays
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
SJC (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 8.33333 mi Precip 0.37 in
BUR (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.