Tracked live by the FAA. The scheduled times shown are from a typical Monday because the FAA's flight plan was first seen after takeoff.
REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 3536
SCHEDULED
Tomorrow
YX 3536 · ORD → SDF
departs 4:09 PM CT · arrives 6:38 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · 25h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at SDF more than 15 minutes late?
10%
chance · ±0 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
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How late will it get to SDF?
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On time or early
90%
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15–30 min late
3%
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30 min–1 hour late
3%
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1–2 hours late
2%
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Over 2 hours late
<1%
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Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.