tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Nov 9, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 3686 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

YX 3686 · JAX → ORD

departs 12:28 PM ET · arrives 2:25 PM CT
Forecast issued Sat 1:00 PM ET · 48h before departure
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
10% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 6.5d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to ORD?

  1. On time or early
    90%
  2. 15–30 min late
    6%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    <1%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    2%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    1%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.