Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Nov 9, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 5655
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 16 Tomorrow
YX 5655 · BOS → CLE
departs 8:55 PM ET · arrives 11:07 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 5:00 AM ET · 40h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 18%
Mon 11/16
Tue 11/17 10%
Wed 11/18 21%
Thu 11/19 23%
Fri 11/20 14%
Sat 11/21 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at CLE more than 15 minutes late?
9%
chance · ±2 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
9%
Leave 15+ late
13%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CLE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Leave BOS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Arrive at CLE more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to CLE?
On time or early
90%
15–30 min late
1%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
8pm departures from BOS are often late
↑
This flight has been late 37% of the time recently
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BOS
↓
YX's recent on-time record
Weather at each end
BOS (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
CLE (destination)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.