Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Nov 10, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 561SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AA 561 · JAX → PHL
departs 9:44 AM ET · arrives 12:09 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 1:00 PM ET · 69h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?
6%chance · ±1 pts−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to PHL?
On time or early
93%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.