Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Nov 10, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 121
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, November 17
B6 121 · JFK → NAS
departs 9:46 AM ET · arrives 12:45 PM EST
Forecast issued Sun 9:00 AM ET · 49h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 41%
Mon 11/16 17%
Tue 11/17
Wed 11/18 21%
Thu 11/19 24%
Fri 11/20 17%
Odds over time
Arrive at NAS more than 15 minutes late?
16%
chance · ±3 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
16%
Leave 15+ late
15%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.4d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at NAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Leave JFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Arrive at NAS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to NAS?
On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
This route's recent record
↑
9am departures from JFK are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK
↓
Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
JFK (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
NAS (destination)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 1,500 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.12 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.