Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Nov 10, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 1553
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, November 17
B6 1553 · FLL → SJU
departs 10:33 AM ET · arrives 2:15 PM AT
Forecast issued Sun 2:00 AM ET · 56h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 46%
Mon 11/16 23%
Tue 11/17
Wed 11/18 25%
Thu 11/19 34%
Fri 11/20 28%
Sat 11/21 26%
Odds over time
Arrive at SJU more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±3 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
32%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.4d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SJU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed – in 24h
–
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed – in 24h
–
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Arrive at SJU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed – in 24h
–
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SJU?
On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 38% of the time recently
↑
Arrivals into SJU at that hour are often late
↓
Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
FLL (origin)
Gusts 29 kt Ceiling 2,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.20 in
SJU (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 2,400 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.15 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.