Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Nov 10, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 278
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, November 17
B6 278 · SFO → FLL
departs 11:27 PM PT · arrives 7:56 AM ET
Forecast issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · 58h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 86%
Mon 11/16 34%
Tue 11/17
Wed 11/18 28%
Thu 11/19 36%
Fri 11/20 18%
Sat 11/21 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?
46%
chance · ±15 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
46%
Leave 15+ late
52%
Arrive 1h+ late
28%
Cancelled
10%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
7.1d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed – in 24h
–
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Leave SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed – in 24h
–
52%
Yes 52%
No 48%
Arrive at FLL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
How late will it get to FLL?
On time or early
48%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
13%
Cancelled
10%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 31 kt forecast at SFO that day
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
SFO is prone to delays
↓
Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
SFO (origin)
Gusts 31 kt Ceiling 4,100 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
FLL (destination)
Gusts 30 kt Ceiling 2,400 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.41 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.