Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Nov 10, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1723
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, November 17
DL 1723 · SLC → MSO
departs 10:55 PM MT · arrives 12:28 AM MT
Forecast issued Sun 6:00 AM ET · 67h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 16%
Mon 11/16 14%
Tue 11/17
Wed 11/18 14%
Thu 11/19 18%
Sat 11/21 9%
Odds over time
Arrive at MSO more than 15 minutes late?
20%
chance · ±6 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
20%
Leave 15+ late
30%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
7.0d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MSO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed – in 24h
–
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Leave SLC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed – in 24h
–
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Arrive at MSO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed – in 24h
–
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MSO?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.6 in of rain forecast at SLC that day
↑
Visibility down to 0.7 mi forecast at MSO that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
SLC usually runs smoothly
↓
Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
SLC (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.61 in
MSO (destination)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 0.6 mi Precip 0.15 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.