Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Nov 10, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2903
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, November 17
DL 2903 · MCI → SLC
departs 6:00 PM CT · arrives 7:41 PM MT
Forecast issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · 51h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 56%
Mon 11/16 11%
Tue 11/17
Wed 11/18 17%
Thu 11/19 26%
Fri 11/20 14%
Sat 11/21 9%
Odds over time
Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?
32%
chance · ±11 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
32%
Leave 15+ late
19%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed – in 24h
–
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Leave MCI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed – in 24h
–
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Arrive at SLC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed – in 24h
–
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SLC?
On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 25 kt, cloud base down to 1,400 ft, 0.7 in of rain forecast at SLC that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
6pm departures from MCI are often late
↓
Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MCI
Weather at each end
MCI (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
SLC (destination)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling 1,400 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.70 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.