Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Nov 10, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3107
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, November 17
OO 3107 · PDX → MSO
departs 10:42 AM PT · arrives 1:18 PM MT
Forecast issued Sat 6:00 PM ET · 68h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 13%
Sun 11/15 12%
Mon 11/16 14%
Tue 11/17
Wed 11/18 17%
Thu 11/19 19%
Fri 11/20 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at MSO more than 15 minutes late?
16%
chance · ±2 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
16%
Leave 15+ late
20%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MSO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed – in 24h
–
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Leave PDX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed – in 24h
–
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Arrive at MSO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed – in 24h
–
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MSO?
On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 0.6 mi forecast at MSO that day
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 18% of the time recently
↓
Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
MSO usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
PDX (origin)
Gusts 5 kt
Ceiling 1,800 ft
Visibility 9 mi
Precip 0.01 in
MSO (destination)
Gusts 5 kt
Ceiling 900 ft
Visibility 0.8 mi
Precip 0.12 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.