Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Nov 10, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4234
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, November 17
OO 4234 · GJT → SLC
departs 1:13 PM MT · arrives 2:30 PM MT
Forecast issued Sun 8:00 AM ET · 55h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 20%
Mon 11/16 4%
Tue 11/17
Wed 11/18 5%
Thu 11/19 8%
Fri 11/20 5%
Sat 11/21 4%
Odds over time
Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?
10%
chance · ±5 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
10%
Leave 15+ late
9%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
6.6d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Leave GJT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed – in 24h
–
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Arrive at SLC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed – in 24h
–
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SLC?
On time or early
90%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 800 ft, 0.6 in of rain forecast at SLC that day
↑
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
SLC usually runs smoothly
↓
Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
GJT (origin)
Gusts 27 kt Ceiling 4,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.03 in
SLC (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.60 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.