Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Nov 10, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4946
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, November 17
OO 4946 · PHX → SLC
departs 9:51 AM MT · arrives 11:39 AM MT
Forecast issued Sun 5:00 AM ET · 55h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 32%
Mon 11/16 10%
Tue 11/17
Wed 11/18 16%
Thu 11/19 17%
Fri 11/20 12%
Sat 11/21 10%
Odds over time
Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?
19%
chance · ±2 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
19%
Leave 15+ late
17%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.5d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed – in 24h
–
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Leave PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed – in 24h
–
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Arrive at SLC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SLC?
On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX
↑
0.6 in of rain forecast at SLC that day
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↓
Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
SLC usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
PHX (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 4,600 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.25 in
SLC (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 1,500 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.61 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.