Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Nov 10, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5599
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, November 17
OO 5599 · CRQ → SFO
departs 6:49 PM -03 · arrives 3:33 PM PT
Forecast issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · 49h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 100%
Mon 11/16 56%
Tue 11/17
Wed 11/18 47%
Thu 11/19 43%
Fri 11/20 42%
Sat 11/21 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
51%
chance · ±4 pts
+16 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
51%
Leave 15+ late
34%
Arrive 1h+ late
21%
Cancelled
4%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.7d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +16 pts in 24h
+16 pts
51%
Yes 51%
No 49%
Leave CRQ more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Arrive at SFO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to SFO?
On time or early
47%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
12%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
SFO is prone to delays
↑
Arrivals into SFO at that hour are often late
↑
Gusts to 31 kt forecast at SFO that day
↓
Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
6pm departures from CRQ are usually not late
Weather at each end
CRQ (origin)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.29 in
SFO (destination)
Gusts 31 kt Ceiling 4,100 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.