Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Nov 10, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5778
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, November 17
OO 5778 · ASE → DEN
departs 6:03 PM MT · arrives 7:11 PM MT
Forecast issued Sun 6:00 AM ET · 62h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 36%
Mon 11/16 19%
Tue 11/17
Wed 11/18 27%
Thu 11/19 38%
Sat 11/21 23%
Odds over time
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
27%
chance · ±11 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
27%
Leave 15+ late
19%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
4%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.8d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed – in 24h
–
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Leave ASE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed – in 24h
–
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Arrive at DEN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed – in 24h
–
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to DEN?
On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late
↑
Gusts to 25 kt forecast at ASE that day
↑
This flight has been late 26% of the time recently
↓
Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN
Weather at each end
ASE (origin)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling 100 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.06 in
DEN (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.