Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Nov 10, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6001
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, November 17
OO 6001 · SFO → MTY
departs 10:40 AM PT · arrives 4:33 PM CST
Forecast issued Sun 1:00 PM ET · 49h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 65%
Mon 11/16 53%
Tue 11/17
Wed 11/18 36%
Thu 11/19 33%
Fri 11/20 27%
Odds over time
Arrive at MTY more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±1 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
23%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.6d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MTY more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed – in 24h
–
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed – in 24h
–
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Arrive at MTY more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MTY?
On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
10am departures from SFO are often late
↑
This route's recent record
↑
SFO is prone to delays
↓
Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Gusts to 33 kt forecast at SFO that day
Weather at each end
SFO (origin)
Gusts 33 kt Ceiling 4,100 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
MTY (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.