Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Nov 10, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6196
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, November 17
OO 6196 · ABQ → PHX
departs 3:28 PM MT · arrives 4:55 PM MT
Forecast issued Sun 5:00 PM ET · 48h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 52%
Mon 11/16 11%
Tue 11/17
Wed 11/18 16%
Thu 11/19 22%
Sat 11/21 9%
Odds over time
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
25%
chance · ±8 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
25%
Leave 15+ late
19%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Leave ABQ more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Arrive at PHX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PHX?
On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX
↑
Arrivals into PHX at that hour are often late
↑
PHX is prone to delays
↓
Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Gusts to 32 kt forecast at ABQ that day
Weather at each end
ABQ (origin)
Gusts 32 kt
Ceiling 4,700 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
PHX (destination)
Gusts 18 kt
Ceiling 4,400 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.18 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.