Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Nov 10, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6500
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, November 17
OO 6500 · FAT → PHX
departs 9:50 AM PT · arrives 12:47 PM MT
Forecast issued Sun 5:00 PM ET · 44h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Mon 11/16 16%
Tue 11/17
Wed 11/18 22%
Fri 11/20 19%
Sat 11/21 12%
Odds over time
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±3 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
23%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.5d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave FAT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Arrive at PHX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PHX?
On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX
↑
PHX is prone to delays
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↓
Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
9am departures from FAT are usually not late
Weather at each end
FAT (origin)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip none
PHX (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 4,400 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.18 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.