tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Nov 10, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

QANTAS · FLIGHT QF 7554 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL ODDS

QF 7554 · HNL → MEL

departs 4:20 AM HT · arrives 12:21 PM AEDT
Forecast issued Thu 4:00 PM ET · 113h before departure

Typical odds Too early for a weather forecast — these are typical odds for this flight on a Tuesday in November, from the weather this date has had in past years (the range shows how much they varied). They’ll switch to forecast-based odds about 3 days before departure.

Arrive at MEL more than 15 minutes late?
12% chance · ±1 pts +0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Low. This is mostly a starting point from history; weather forecasts haven't kicked in yet.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 6.4d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to MEL?

  1. On time or early
    87%
  2. 15–30 min late
    6%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    4%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    <1%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    2%
  6. Cancelled
    1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.