Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Nov 10, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1509SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
UA 1509 · SFO → HNL
departs 4:45 PM PT · arrives 8:25 PM HT
Forecast issued Sun 11:00 AM ET · 57h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?
15%chance · ±4 pts– · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to HNL?
On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.