Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Nov 10, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
UNITED · FLIGHT UA 857SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
UA 857 · SFO → PVG
departs 1:12 PM PT · arrives 6:44 PM CST
Forecast issued Sun 11:00 AM ET · 53h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at PVG more than 15 minutes late?
19%chance · ±3 pts– · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to PVG?
On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.