Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Nov 10, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1083
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, November 17
WN 1083 · BUR → SFO
departs 5:07 PM PT · arrives 6:33 PM PT
Forecast issued Sun 6:00 AM ET · 62h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 91%
Mon 11/16 51%
Tue 11/17
Wed 11/18 38%
Thu 11/19 50%
Sat 11/21 32%
Odds over time
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±11 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
33%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.8d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed – in 24h
–
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave BUR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed – in 24h
–
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Arrive at SFO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SFO?
On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
SFO is prone to delays
↑
This flight has been late 15% of the time recently
↑
Gusts to 35 kt forecast at SFO that day
↓
Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BUR
Weather at each end
BUR (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 4,400 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
SFO (destination)
Gusts 35 kt Ceiling 4,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.