Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Nov 10, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2025
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, November 17
WN 2025 · HNL → LIH
departs 8:46 PM HT · arrives 9:43 PM HT
Forecast issued Sun 5:00 AM ET · 69h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 11%
Mon 11/16 12%
Tue 11/17
Wed 11/18 14%
Thu 11/19 18%
Fri 11/20 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at LIH more than 15 minutes late?
11%
chance · ±0 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
11%
Leave 15+ late
17%
Arrive 1h+ late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
7.1d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LIH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed – in 24h
–
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Leave HNL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed – in 24h
–
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Arrive at LIH more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LIH?
On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Other factors
↓
Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
This flight has been late 8% of the time recently
Weather at each end
HNL (origin)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
LIH (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 1,667 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.