Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Nov 10, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2990
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, November 17
WN 2990 · FLL → IND
departs 2:35 PM ET · arrives 5:24 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 9:00 AM ET · 54h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Tue 11/17
Wed 11/18 25%
Odds over time
Arrive at IND more than 15 minutes late?
23%
chance · ±1 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
23%
Leave 15+ late
20%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at IND more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed – in 24h
–
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Leave FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed – in 24h
–
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Arrive at IND more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed – in 24h
–
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to IND?
On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
2pm departures from FLL are often late
↑
This flight has been late 37% of the time recently
↑
Gusts to 29 kt forecast at FLL that day
↓
Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at IND
Weather at each end
FLL (origin)
Gusts 30 kt Ceiling 1,700 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.14 in
IND (destination)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.