Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Nov 10, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3256
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, November 17
WN 3256 · OGG → HNL
departs 6:56 PM HT · arrives 7:52 PM HT
Forecast issued Sun 3:00 AM ET · 69h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 14%
Mon 11/16 15%
Tue 11/17
Wed 11/18 13%
Thu 11/19 21%
Fri 11/20 20%
Sat 11/21 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?
11%
chance · ±1 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
11%
Leave 15+ late
12%
Arrive 1h+ late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
7.0d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed – in 24h
–
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Leave OGG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed – in 24h
–
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Arrive at HNL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to HNL?
On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
HNL is prone to delays
↓
Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
This flight has been late 6% of the time recently
Weather at each end
OGG (origin)
Gusts 31 kt Ceiling 2,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
HNL (destination)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling 2,800 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.