Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Nov 10, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3384
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, November 17
WN 3384 · PHX → ABQ
departs 6:47 PM MT · arrives 8:07 PM MT
Forecast issued Sun 5:00 PM ET · 52h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 81%
Mon 11/16 27%
Tue 11/17
Wed 11/18 34%
Thu 11/19 49%
Odds over time
Arrive at ABQ more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±0 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
54%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ABQ more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed – in 24h
–
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed – in 24h
–
54%
Yes 54%
No 46%
Arrive at ABQ more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ABQ?
On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
6pm departures from PHX are often late
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
ABQ usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
PHX (origin)
Gusts 18 kt
Ceiling 4,400 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.18 in
ABQ (destination)
Gusts 32 kt
Ceiling 4,700 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.