Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Nov 10, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 923
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, November 17
WN 923 · MCO → CUN
departs 11:18 AM ET · arrives 1:27 PM EST
Forecast issued Sun 8:00 AM ET · 51h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 32%
Mon 11/16 15%
Tue 11/17
Wed 11/18 12%
Thu 11/19 16%
Fri 11/20 15%
Sat 11/21 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at CUN more than 15 minutes late?
14%
chance · ±0 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
14%
Leave 15+ late
13%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.5d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CUN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed – in 24h
–
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed – in 24h
–
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Arrive at CUN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed – in 24h
–
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to CUN?
On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
11am departures from MCO are often late
↑
This route's recent record
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↓
Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Gusts to 25 kt forecast at MCO that day
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling 4,100 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.05 in
CUN (destination)
Gusts — Ceiling — Visibility — Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.