tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Nov 11, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

ENDEAVOR · FLIGHT 9E 4893 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

9E 4893 · ORF → LGA

departs 2:32 PM ET · arrives 3:59 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 5:00 PM ET · 70h before departure
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
15% chance · ±0 pts −20 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 6.6d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to LGA?

  1. On time or early
    84%
  2. 15–30 min late
    6%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    3%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    3%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    2%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.