Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Nov 11, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3137
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, November 18
OO 3137 · SEA → FAT
departs 9:14 AM PT · arrives 11:33 AM PT
Forecast issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · 68h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 34%
Mon 11/16 22%
Tue 11/17 15%
Wed 11/18
Thu 11/19 21%
Fri 11/20 19%
Sat 11/21 17%
Odds over time
Arrive at FAT more than 15 minutes late?
18%
chance · ±1 pts
−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
18%
Leave 15+ late
11%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.5d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at FAT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Leave SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Arrive at FAT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to FAT?
On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at FAT
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↑
FAT is prone to delays
↓
Wednesdays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SEA
Weather at each end
SEA (origin)
Gusts 12 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
FAT (destination)
Gusts 22 kt
Ceiling 3,800 ft
Visibility 3 mi
Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.