Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Nov 11, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3497
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, November 18
OO 3497 · PSP → SFO
departs 8:06 AM PT · arrives 9:54 AM PT
Forecast issued Sun 1:00 PM ET · 70h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 81%
Mon 11/16 74%
Tue 11/17 30%
Wed 11/18
Thu 11/19 40%
Fri 11/20 39%
Sat 11/21 30%
Odds over time
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
96%
chance · ±12 pts
+47 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
96%
Leave 15+ late
80%
Arrive 1h+ late
75%
Cancelled
16%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.5d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +47 pts in 24h
+47 pts
96%
Yes 96%
No 4%
Leave PSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +36 pts in 24h
+36 pts
80%
Yes 80%
No 20%
Arrive at SFO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +43 pts in 24h
+43 pts
75%
Yes 75%
No 25%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +13 pts in 24h
+13 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
How late will it get to SFO?
On time or early
3%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
22%
Over 2 hours late
41%
Cancelled
16%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 37 kt, 0.7 in of rain forecast at SFO that day
↑
SFO is prone to delays
↑
Arrivals into SFO at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PSP
↓
Wednesdays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
PSP (origin)
Gusts 8 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
SFO (destination)
Gusts 37 kt
Ceiling 2,800 ft
Visibility 4 mi
Precip 0.75 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.