Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Nov 11, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3786
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, November 18
OO 3786 · FAT → SLC
departs 9:48 AM PT · arrives 12:29 PM MT
Forecast issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · 69h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 5%
Mon 11/16 5%
Tue 11/17 8%
Wed 11/18
Thu 11/19 9%
Fri 11/20 9%
Odds over time
Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?
8%
chance · ±1 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
8%
Leave 15+ late
9%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
6.5d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Leave FAT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Arrive at SLC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SLC?
On time or early
91%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
FAT is prone to delays
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at SLC
↑
Other factors
↓
This flight has been late 5% of the time recently
↓
Wednesdays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
FAT (origin)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 3,800 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.01 in
SLC (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 2,533 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.11 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.